Process & Philosophy
Glossary
RBP®
The revenue growth necessary to support the current stock price. Required Business Performance® is used as a benchmark against which to measure management’s ability to perform in the future. It is calculated using a reverse discounted cash flow valuation model that uses the current stock price as the primary input.
RBP® Probability
The likelihood that management will deliver the Required Business Performance® to support the stock price. It is calculated by fitting the company’s historical revenue growth to a distribution, then finding the company’s Required Business Performance within this historical distribution.
In the hypothetical example below, the company’s RBP® Probability, represented by green, is 35% while its Behavioral Risk Indicator, represented by red, is 65%. RBP® Probability
Behavioral Risk Indicator
The likelihood that investors’ systematic behavioral biases have caused misalignment between the stock price and management’s ability to deliver. The Behavioral Risk Indicator is designed to capture the impact that human psychology has on the subjective valuation process used by investors. It is defined as one minus the RBP® Probability.
In the hypothetical example below, the company’s RBP® Probability, represented by green, is 35% while its Behavioral Risk Indicator, represented by red, is 65%. Behavioral Risk Indicator
RBP® Methodology
A system of fundamental stock analysis that uses a reverse discounted cash flow valuation model to determine what the stock’s current price implies in terms of future free cash flow and revenue (Required Business Performance® ) as well as the calculation of the likelihood that management can deliver the Required Business Performance®, known as RBP® Probability.
RBP® Platform
The Transparent Value decision support tool consisting of an interactive database containing the proprietary data produced by Transparent Value. Included are the Required Business Performance® (RBP® ) values, RBP® Probabilities and Behavioral Risk Indicators for more than 2,000 global stocks, the Transparent Value mutual fund rating system providing coverage of more than 3,000 funds, and also broad market indicators.
RBP® Snapshot
Provides updated company-specific RBP® information based on the company's most recent quarterly financial data. The RBP® Snapshot consists of the RBP® probability and RBP® values for a particular company.

A Logical Benchmark

What is Required Business Performance®?
Can management deliver the Required Business Performance® to support the stock price?

Required Business Performance®, or RBP®, is the revenue growth necessary to support the current stock price. Transparent Value recognizes that a company’s stock price implies certain business performance and uses its proprietary RBP® Methodology to determine each company’s Required Business Performance®. Next, using historical data, Transparent Value quantitatively determines the likelihood management will deliver the Required Business Performance®. We call this likelihood RBP® Probability, and we call the likelihood management will fail to deliver the Required Business Performance® the Behavioral Risk Indicator.

We believe stock prices are a reflection of the collective assumptions for future performance by investors. However we also believe these assumptions can become biased due to investors’ systematic behavioral biases, causing misalignment between stock prices and managements’ ability to deliver. We therefore feel that knowing how much revenue growth management must deliver to support the current stock price is critical to assessing the risk profile and relative attractiveness of stocks. This approach is the basis for used in our proprietary investment methodology.

Transparent Value’s RBP® Methodology aims to link a company’s current stock price to what its management does on a day-to-day basis and its ability to deliver in the future. We believe that investors’ systematic behavioral biases can affect stock prices causing a misalignment between the stock price and management’s ability and as a result we believe investors often unknowingly expose themselves to behavioral risk, which may hamper returns.